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Qual 342018 Michigan State Championship - DTE Energy Foundation Division
Red369
6121141.5
5980163.3
5216154.5
Blue424
1701150.3
3535157.5
7056145.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions361344250300400450500369424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5980
#36
163.30.5
161.0→161.5
Auto25.1
Teleop115.9
End19.4
red by 5.9
3535
#17
157.50.4
157.2→156.8
Auto23.4
Teleop115.1
End18.9
Second
5216
#25
154.51.0
154.3→153.3
Auto17.5
Teleop115.9
End20.9
red by 4.2
1701
#28
150.31.7
151.3→149.6
Auto18.6
Teleop105.7
End23.5
Third
6121
#35
141.50.8
130.0→130.8
Auto22.8
Teleop102.7
End17.7
blue by 4.4
7056
#33
145.90.0
152.6→152.7
Auto18.4
Teleop101.2
End23.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned71%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed24%Face the Boss oddsEarned