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Red344
5046174.4
4381148.9
6117164.0
Blue371
7244125.9
5501183.6
4362191.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3293740100200500600700800344371

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5046
#21
174.40.8
171.1171.9
Auto19.0
Teleop135.4
End20.1
blue by 17.2
191.61.2
184.4185.6
Auto18.9
Teleop151.6
End22.1
Second
6117
#26
164.01.0
160.7161.7
Auto16.4
Teleop122.8
End27.2
blue by 19.6
5501
#20
183.61.0
189.5188.5
Auto18.1
Teleop136.8
End28.5
Third
4381
#32
148.90.6
153.9153.3
Auto21.5
Teleop109.4
End21.4
red by 23.0
7244
#31
125.90.7
124.8125.5
Auto16.5
Teleop93.9
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsEarned73%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed17%Face the Boss oddsMissed