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Red121
5230144.9
4384144.7
6099125.2
Blue425
3707207.0
3620172.4
5709102.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2833700100200500600700121425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5230
#37
144.91.9
154.7152.8
Auto20.2
Teleop102.8
End19.9
blue by 62.0
207.00.8
203.1203.9
Auto26.2
Teleop148.1
End30.8
Second
4384
#13
144.71.2
134.8136.0
Auto18.9
Teleop112.7
End14.9
blue by 27.7
3620
#15
172.41.7
174.9173.2
Auto22.6
Teleop129.8
End20.9
Third
6099
#41
125.21.3
137.9136.6
Auto18.2
Teleop90.9
End15.8
red by 23.0
5709
#34
102.30.5
100.7100.3
Auto16.1
Teleop72.0
End16.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsMissed80%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed26%Face the Boss oddsEarned