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Red355
2137159.5
33211.4
6090199.8
Blue394
3572158.3
70182.5
3535157.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4313280100200500600700800355394

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#4
211.40.1
211.7211.7
Auto23.8
Teleop156.2
End31.3
red by 28.9
70
#6
182.50.2
179.4179.7
Auto22.4
Teleop135.4
End23.6
Second
199.80.3
197.8198.2
Auto23.4
Teleop146.6
End30.0
red by 41.5
3572
#12
158.31.3
157.9159.3
Auto19.6
Teleop115.7
End19.9
Third
2137
#30
159.51.3
152.6153.9
Auto21.1
Teleop118.2
End20.2
red by 2.1
3535
#17
157.50.1
156.8157.0
Auto23.4
Teleop115.1
End18.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
26%Face the Boss oddsMissed40%Face the Boss oddsEarned