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Red446
33211.4
3707207.0
6117164.0
Blue186
7226112.3
67209.6
3572158.3
76%Model gave it24%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4523020200400600800446186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#4
211.40.5
211.7211.2
Auto23.8
Teleop156.2
End31.3
red by 1.8
67
#3
209.60.3
217.6217.3
Auto24.8
Teleop142.8
End39.8
Second
207.01.5
203.9205.4
Auto26.2
Teleop148.1
End30.8
red by 48.6
3572
#12
158.31.6
159.3160.8
Auto19.6
Teleop115.7
End19.9
Third
6117
#26
164.00.5
161.7162.2
Auto16.4
Teleop122.8
End27.2
red by 51.7
7226
#40
112.30.3
119.0118.6
Auto15.5
Teleop79.7
End17.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned86%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
63%Face the Boss oddsEarned88%Face the Boss oddsMissed