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Red342
6087138.6
4362191.6
3656203.5
Blue421
5216154.5
6090199.8
2337208.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34739402006008001,0001,200342421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3656
#18
203.50.6
205.1205.7
Auto23.0
Teleop152.3
End26.8
blue by 4.5
208.01.1
203.9204.9
Auto24.9
Teleop156.3
End25.2
Second
191.61.4
185.6187.0
Auto18.9
Teleop151.6
End22.1
blue by 8.2
199.80.3
198.2197.8
Auto23.4
Teleop146.6
End30.0
Third
6087
#38
138.60.8
143.0142.2
Auto19.0
Teleop100.6
End19.5
blue by 16.0
5216
#25
154.50.1
152.9152.9
Auto17.5
Teleop115.9
End20.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
30%Face the Boss oddsMissed16%Face the Boss oddsEarned