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Red377
3620172.4
4392175.1
1918214.9
Blue256
5501183.6
3535157.5
4381148.9
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4283040100200500600700800377256

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
214.91.0
218.3217.4
Auto23.1
Teleop156.3
End34.1
red by 31.2
5501
#20
183.60.4
188.5188.0
Auto18.1
Teleop136.8
End28.5
Second
4392
#23
175.10.7
174.6174.0
Auto15.4
Teleop138.2
End21.1
red by 17.6
3535
#17
157.50.6
157.0157.6
Auto23.4
Teleop115.1
End18.9
Third
3620
#15
172.40.5
173.2172.7
Auto22.6
Teleop129.8
End20.9
red by 23.5
4381
#32
148.90.7
153.3152.6
Auto21.5
Teleop109.4
End21.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
75%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
47%Face the Boss oddsEarned26%Face the Boss oddsMissed