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Red193
5155177.5
6099125.2
4216178.6
Blue429
5230144.9
6121141.5
1596166.4
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3992840100200500600193429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4216
#24
178.60.3
186.1185.8
Auto22.1
Teleop134.7
End24.9
red by 12.2
1596
#27
166.41.3
165.7164.4
Auto22.1
Teleop123.3
End22.2
Second
5155
#16
177.50.3
180.0179.7
Auto20.6
Teleop130.6
End26.8
red by 32.6
5230
#37
144.92.5
152.8150.3
Auto20.2
Teleop102.8
End19.9
Third
6099
#41
125.22.0
136.6134.6
Auto18.2
Teleop90.9
End15.8
blue by 16.3
6121
#35
141.50.6
131.9132.5
Auto22.8
Teleop102.7
End17.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed