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Red255
5709102.3
7187157.4
5230144.9
Blue340
5517160.8
1023195.0
6099125.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2764150100200500600700255340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7187
#29
157.40.4
161.0160.6
Auto22.0
Teleop109.7
End23.6
blue by 37.6
1023
#10
195.01.2
196.2197.4
Auto21.8
Teleop145.6
End23.8
Second
5230
#37
144.90.9
150.3149.4
Auto20.2
Teleop102.8
End19.9
blue by 15.9
5517
#11
160.80.2
163.7163.6
Auto18.2
Teleop117.5
End24.2
Third
5709
#34
102.30.1
100.7100.8
Auto16.1
Teleop72.0
End16.8
blue by 23.0
6099
#41
125.22.7
134.6131.9
Auto18.2
Teleop90.9
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
76%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsMissed27%Face the Boss oddsMissed