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Red359
5561166.1
1701150.3
4392175.1
Blue432
2474184.5
7244125.9
33211.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343383100200300500600359432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4392
#23
175.10.4
174.0173.5
Auto15.4
Teleop138.2
End21.1
blue by 36.3
33
#4
211.40.2
211.2211.0
Auto23.8
Teleop156.2
End31.3
Second
5561
#14
166.10.6
168.4167.8
Auto18.9
Teleop118.1
End28.3
blue by 18.4
2474
#19
184.50.6
185.2184.6
Auto25.2
Teleop141.7
End17.3
Third
1701
#28
150.30.3
147.5147.8
Auto18.6
Teleop105.7
End23.5
red by 24.4
7244
#31
125.90.5
126.4126.9
Auto16.5
Teleop93.9
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
55%Auto Quest oddsEarned97%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
37%Face the Boss oddsEarned14%Face the Boss oddsEarned