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Red387
5555138.8
67209.6
70182.5
Blue263
5980163.3
4381148.9
5155177.5
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423325200500600700387263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67
#3
209.61.6
217.3215.6
Auto24.8
Teleop142.8
End39.8
red by 32.1
5155
#16
177.51.3
179.7178.4
Auto20.6
Teleop130.6
End26.8
Second
70
#6
182.50.1
180.4180.4
Auto22.4
Teleop135.4
End23.6
red by 19.2
5980
#36
163.30.5
163.3163.7
Auto25.1
Teleop115.9
End19.4
Third
5555
#39
138.80.6
141.8141.2
Auto18.1
Teleop109.6
End12.2
blue by 10.1
4381
#32
148.91.2
152.6151.4
Auto21.5
Teleop109.4
End21.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
97%Auto Quest oddsEarned98%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
70%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsEarned