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Red339
5460198.1
3707207.0
7226112.3
Blue369
5216154.5
5046174.4
2137159.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions389320100200500600700339369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
207.01.5
205.4206.8
Auto26.2
Teleop148.1
End30.8
red by 32.6
5046
#21
174.40.1
172.6172.5
Auto19.0
Teleop135.4
End20.1
Second
198.11.4
190.6192.0
Auto21.2
Teleop142.8
End36.1
red by 38.6
2137
#30
159.50.7
154.4155.1
Auto21.1
Teleop118.2
End20.2
Third
7226
#40
112.31.5
118.6117.1
Auto15.5
Teleop79.7
End17.8
blue by 42.2
5216
#25
154.50.5
152.9153.5
Auto17.5
Teleop115.9
End20.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned90%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
79%Face the Boss oddsEarned9%Face the Boss oddsMissed