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Red421
6090199.8
4819142.5
4384144.7
Blue245
4216178.6
3620172.4
7244125.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions370330100200300400500600421245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
199.80.2
197.8198.0
Auto23.4
Teleop146.6
End30.0
red by 21.2
4216
#24
178.61.4
185.8184.4
Auto22.1
Teleop134.7
End24.9
Second
4384
#13
144.70.9
137.1138.1
Auto18.9
Teleop112.7
End14.9
blue by 27.7
3620
#15
172.40.3
172.7172.4
Auto22.6
Teleop129.8
End20.9
Third
4819
#22
142.50.1
142.6142.7
Auto16.8
Teleop107.7
End19.7
red by 16.6
7244
#31
125.90.8
126.9127.8
Auto16.5
Teleop93.9
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed11%Face the Boss oddsMissed