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Red216
7187157.4
7056145.9
3572158.3
Blue382
5501183.6
5555138.8
2474184.5
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3343980100200300500600700216382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3572
#12
158.30.3
160.8161.0
Auto19.6
Teleop115.7
End19.9
blue by 26.2
2474
#19
184.50.0
184.6184.6
Auto25.2
Teleop141.7
End17.3
Second
7187
#29
157.40.5
160.6160.2
Auto22.0
Teleop109.7
End23.6
blue by 26.2
5501
#20
183.60.8
187.0186.1
Auto18.1
Teleop136.8
End28.5
Third
7056
#33
145.90.8
152.4151.6
Auto18.4
Teleop101.2
End23.5
red by 7.1
5555
#39
138.80.6
141.2140.6
Auto18.1
Teleop109.6
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
31%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed