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Red435
5980163.3
2337208.0
5501183.6
Blue245
4216178.6
5216154.5
33211.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions369401100200300500600700800435245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
208.01.0
197.2198.2
Auto24.9
Teleop156.3
End25.2
blue by 3.4
33
#4
211.41.4
209.3210.7
Auto23.8
Teleop156.2
End31.3
Second
5501
#20
183.60.8
187.1187.9
Auto18.1
Teleop136.8
End28.5
red by 5.1
4216
#24
178.61.3
184.4185.7
Auto22.1
Teleop134.7
End24.9
Third
5980
#36
163.30.8
157.7158.5
Auto25.1
Teleop115.9
End19.4
red by 8.8
5216
#25
154.50.3
158.5158.3
Auto17.5
Teleop115.9
End20.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned99%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
18%Face the Boss oddsMissed17%Face the Boss oddsMissed