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Red314
7244125.9
5046174.4
4819142.5
Blue352
3656203.5
5230144.9
2137159.5
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions294410100200500600700314352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5046
#21
174.40.6
168.4169.0
Auto19.0
Teleop135.4
End20.1
blue by 29.1
3656
#18
203.51.3
201.0202.3
Auto23.0
Teleop152.3
End26.8
Second
4819
#22
142.51.0
136.9137.9
Auto16.8
Teleop107.7
End19.7
blue by 17.0
2137
#30
159.51.2
156.3155.0
Auto21.1
Teleop118.2
End20.2
Third
7244
#31
125.91.3
120.0121.3
Auto16.5
Teleop93.9
End11.2
blue by 19.0
5230
#37
144.90.4
157.3157.7
Auto20.2
Teleop102.8
End19.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed19%Face the Boss oddsMissed