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Red221
5155177.5
1701150.3
6121141.5
Blue467
4362191.6
1918214.9
3707207.0
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions223484400600800221467

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5155
#16
177.50.0
179.5179.5
Auto20.6
Teleop130.6
End26.8
blue by 37.3
214.90.4
218.1217.8
Auto23.1
Teleop156.3
End34.1
Second
1701
#28
150.31.4
154.8153.4
Auto18.6
Teleop105.7
End23.5
blue by 56.7
207.02.0
197.8199.8
Auto26.2
Teleop148.1
End30.8
Third
6121
#35
141.50.3
128.9129.2
Auto22.8
Teleop102.7
End17.7
blue by 50.1
191.60.1
185.2185.1
Auto18.9
Teleop151.6
End22.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed81%Face the Boss oddsMissed