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Red431
2337208.0
5555138.8
3572158.3
Blue283
4384144.7
5980163.3
5561166.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393314100200500600431283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
208.01.2
198.2199.4
Auto24.9
Teleop156.3
End25.2
red by 41.9
5561
#14
166.10.3
168.4168.7
Auto18.9
Teleop118.1
End28.3
Second
3572
#12
158.30.1
155.0155.2
Auto19.6
Teleop115.7
End19.9
blue by 5.0
5980
#36
163.31.0
158.5159.5
Auto25.1
Teleop115.9
End19.4
Third
5555
#39
138.80.2
140.1140.3
Auto18.1
Teleop109.6
End12.2
blue by 5.9
4384
#13
144.70.3
135.3135.0
Auto18.9
Teleop112.7
End14.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest oddsEarned84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsMissed17%Face the Boss oddsMissed