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Red266
5155177.5
5517160.8
3535157.5
Blue417
4819142.5
33211.4
4362191.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3014150100200500600700800266417

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5155
#16
177.50.5
176.9177.4
Auto20.6
Teleop130.6
End26.8
blue by 33.9
33
#4
211.40.0
211.2211.2
Auto23.8
Teleop156.2
End31.3
Second
5517
#11
160.80.1
161.0160.9
Auto18.2
Teleop117.5
End24.2
blue by 30.8
191.60.6
190.4191.0
Auto18.9
Teleop151.6
End22.1
Third
3535
#17
157.50.5
158.0157.5
Auto23.4
Teleop115.1
End18.9
red by 14.9
4819
#22
142.50.2
142.7142.5
Auto16.8
Teleop107.7
End19.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
29%Face the Boss oddsEarned46%Face the Boss oddsEarned