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Red417
4362191.6
2337208.0
6121141.5
Blue69
3620172.4
4384144.7
2474184.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions420292010020050060070080041769

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
208.00.0
209.4209.4
Auto24.9
Teleop156.3
End25.2
red by 23.5
2474
#19
184.50.0
184.9184.9
Auto25.2
Teleop141.7
End17.3
Second
191.60.3
191.0191.3
Auto18.9
Teleop151.6
End22.1
red by 19.2
3620
#15
172.40.4
171.8172.2
Auto22.6
Teleop129.8
End20.9
Third
6121
#35
141.50.5
139.5140.0
Auto22.8
Teleop102.7
End17.7
blue by 3.2
4384
#13
144.70.6
143.5144.1
Auto18.9
Teleop112.7
End14.9