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Red380
4362191.6
2337208.0
6121141.5
Blue322
1023195.0
1918214.9
5980163.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions381357100200300500600700380322

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
208.00.2
209.2209.0
Auto24.9
Teleop156.3
End25.2
blue by 6.8
214.90.0
215.0215.0
Auto23.1
Teleop156.3
End34.1
Second
191.60.1
191.6191.7
Auto18.9
Teleop151.6
End22.1
blue by 3.4
1023
#10
195.00.4
196.3195.9
Auto21.8
Teleop145.6
End23.8
Third
6121
#35
141.50.2
140.7140.9
Auto22.8
Teleop102.7
End17.7
blue by 21.8
5980
#36
163.30.3
164.2163.9
Auto25.1
Teleop115.9
End19.4