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Quarterfinal 2-22018 Michigan State Championship - Consumers Energy Division
Red266
2054184.9
5050191.3
5531153.8
Blue361
5712166.4
4776169.2
5509166.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413321100200500600700266361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5050
#4
191.30.3
190.1→190.4
Auto23.7
Teleop140.9
End29.0
red by 22.2
4776
#7
169.20.0
169.2→169.2
Auto20.9
Teleop126.7
End25.1
Second
2054
#10
184.90.1
184.7→184.7
Auto23.0
Teleop130.8
End31.7
red by 18.1
5509
#33
166.80.1
167.1→167.0
Auto18.7
Teleop122.3
End26.4
Third
5531
#30
153.80.3
155.2→154.9
Auto17.4
Teleop119.7
End17.1
blue by 12.5
5712
#14
166.40.0
166.3→166.3
Auto21.8
Teleop119.8
End25.9