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Semifinal 2-12018 Michigan State Championship - Consumers Energy Division
Red378
3357230.5
3452194.7
6193168.8
Blue309
302209.0
27192.9
5436173.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions386376200300500600378309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
#5
230.50.0
231.3→231.3
Auto22.4
Teleop175.7
End30.9
red by 21.6
302
#6
209.00.1
209.2→209.1
Auto21.4
Teleop161.8
End24.9
Second
3452
#2
194.70.3
193.9→194.1
Auto20.8
Teleop142.5
End29.1
red by 1.7
27
#3
192.90.1
192.7→192.8
Auto23.4
Teleop141.1
End24.1
Third
6193
#24
168.80.1
170.1→169.9
Auto20.1
Teleop124.3
End24.0
blue by 4.7
5436
#19
173.50.2
173.2→173.3
Auto21.0
Teleop125.6
End26.7