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Red397
2054184.9
5050191.3
5531153.8
Blue315
2832153.4
4776169.2
5509166.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions427311100200500600700800397315

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
191.30.3
189.8190.1
Auto23.7
Teleop140.9
End29.0
red by 22.2
169.20.1
169.1169.2
Auto20.9
Teleop126.7
End25.1
Second
2054
#10
184.90.1
184.6184.7
Auto23.0
Teleop130.8
End31.7
red by 18.1
5509
#33
166.80.1
167.2167.1
Auto18.7
Teleop122.3
End26.4
Third
5531
#30
153.80.3
155.5155.2
Auto17.4
Teleop119.7
End17.1
red by 0.5
2832
#17
153.40.1
153.3153.4
Auto20.2
Teleop109.7
End24.3