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Semifinal 1-32018 Michigan State Championship - Consumers Energy Division
Red407
494213.9
1718180.3
3667147.3
Blue321
2054184.9
5050191.3
5531153.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3883420100200300500600700800407321

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#8
213.90.0
213.9→213.9
Auto21.7
Teleop162.7
End28.9
red by 22.5
5050
#4
191.30.3
191.1→191.3
Auto23.7
Teleop140.9
End29.0
Second
1718
#1
180.30.4
178.7→179.1
Auto20.6
Teleop130.7
End33.8
blue by 4.6
2054
#10
184.90.1
184.8→184.9
Auto23.0
Teleop130.8
End31.7
Third
3667
#38
147.30.3
148.1→147.8
Auto17.4
Teleop118.2
End11.3
blue by 6.6
5531
#30
153.80.2
154.0→153.8
Auto17.4
Teleop119.7
End17.1