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Semifinal 1-22018 Michigan State Championship - Consumers Energy Division
Red390
494213.9
1718180.3
3667147.3
Blue358
2054184.9
5050191.3
5531153.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3883390100200300500600700390358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#8
213.90.0
214.0→213.9
Auto21.7
Teleop162.7
End28.9
red by 22.5
5050
#4
191.30.2
190.8→191.1
Auto23.7
Teleop140.9
End29.0
Second
1718
#1
180.30.5
178.3→178.7
Auto20.6
Teleop130.7
End33.8
blue by 4.6
2054
#10
184.90.1
184.7→184.8
Auto23.0
Teleop130.8
End31.7
Third
3667
#38
147.30.3
148.4→148.1
Auto17.4
Teleop118.2
End11.3
blue by 6.6
5531
#30
153.80.2
154.2→154.0
Auto17.4
Teleop119.7
End17.1