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Red416
5090135.5
1718180.3
3667147.3
Blue383
5314160.8
3542169.1
302209.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271409100200500600700800416383

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180.31.7
161.7163.3
Auto20.6
Teleop130.7
End33.8
blue by 28.6
302
#6
209.00.5
211.7212.1
Auto21.4
Teleop161.8
End24.9
Second
3667
#38
147.30.4
153.2152.8
Auto17.4
Teleop118.2
End11.3
blue by 21.9
3542
#16
169.11.1
166.1167.2
Auto21.8
Teleop126.6
End21.3
Third
5090
#31
135.51.3
139.1137.8
Auto17.6
Teleop98.0
End18.3
blue by 25.2
5314
#21
160.80.1
153.1153.0
Auto19.9
Teleop127.7
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsEarned86%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed