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Red332
5712166.4
5535156.7
6112146.2
Blue408
4776169.2
6193168.8
4970164.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions326373100200500600700800332408

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5712
#14
166.40.2
162.4162.6
Auto21.8
Teleop119.8
End25.9
blue by 2.8
169.20.8
156.7157.6
Auto20.9
Teleop126.7
End25.1
Second
5535
#26
156.70.8
152.4153.3
Auto16.1
Teleop120.3
End22.6
blue by 12.1
6193
#24
168.80.4
165.5165.8
Auto20.1
Teleop124.3
End24.0
Third
6112
#37
146.21.2
151.5150.3
Auto21.7
Teleop111.3
End15.4
blue by 18.7
4970
#27
164.91.0
176.9175.9
Auto24.8
Teleop116.7
End22.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed