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Qual 222018 Michigan State Championship - Consumers Energy Division
Red505
3357230.5
857138.1
302209.0
Blue302
5534132.6
4776169.2
7054143.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions465243100200300400500600700505302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3357
#5
230.50.5
236.6→236.1
Auto22.4
Teleop175.7
End30.9
red by 61.4
4776
#7
169.21.1
157.6→158.6
Auto20.9
Teleop126.7
End25.1
Second
302
#6
209.00.5
212.1→212.7
Auto21.4
Teleop161.8
End24.9
red by 65.1
7054
#18
143.81.7
138.2→139.9
Auto18.0
Teleop107.3
End20.9
Third
857
#25
138.10.4
137.0→136.6
Auto17.2
Teleop97.0
End23.3
red by 5.5
5534
#34
132.60.3
131.3→131.1
Auto21.3
Teleop94.5
End19.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
30%Face the Boss oddsEarned7%Face the Boss oddsMissed