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Red287
5523135.9
7234132.2
4130160.3
Blue390
5531153.8
6112146.2
5050191.3
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2833920100200500600700287390

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4130
#20
160.30.5
164.4163.9
Auto18.2
Teleop121.1
End24.5
blue by 31.0
191.30.3
182.9182.6
Auto23.7
Teleop140.9
End29.0
Second
5523
#23
135.90.5
132.5133.0
Auto19.9
Teleop98.9
End20.1
blue by 17.9
5531
#30
153.80.4
162.9162.5
Auto17.4
Teleop119.7
End17.1
Third
7234
#28
132.20.3
130.6130.9
Auto18.5
Teleop92.1
End23.1
blue by 14.0
6112
#37
146.20.7
150.3149.5
Auto21.7
Teleop111.3
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
84%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed