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Red396
3542169.1
5084146.4
4391194.7
Blue293
4327131.1
6193168.8
5436173.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions397299100200500600700396293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4391
#12
194.71.3
191.1192.5
Auto28.3
Teleop145.1
End21.2
red by 21.2
5436
#19
173.50.5
169.5169.1
Auto21.0
Teleop125.6
End26.7
Second
3542
#16
169.10.6
168.3168.9
Auto21.8
Teleop126.6
End21.3
red by 0.3
6193
#24
168.80.7
165.8166.5
Auto20.1
Teleop124.3
End24.0
Third
5084
#39
146.40.3
153.3153.0
Auto17.7
Teleop109.1
End16.9
red by 15.3
4327
#40
131.10.1
133.8133.9
Auto14.5
Teleop101.9
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned53%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed