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Qual 252018 Michigan State Championship - Consumers Energy Division
Red473
1506188.2
5090135.5
3603159.6
Blue302
3655135.1
4970164.9
1718180.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340355250300400450500473302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1506
#9
188.21.1
194.0→192.9
Auto22.7
Teleop142.8
End18.7
red by 7.8
1718
#1
180.31.9
165.6→167.5
Auto20.6
Teleop130.7
End33.8
Second
3603
#29
159.60.2
151.4→151.3
Auto17.9
Teleop116.1
End25.5
blue by 5.3
4970
#27
164.90.4
175.9→175.5
Auto24.8
Teleop116.7
End22.6
Third
5090
#31
135.50.2
137.8→137.6
Auto17.6
Teleop98.0
End18.3
red by 0.4
3655
#32
135.10.6
130.0→130.6
Auto16.8
Teleop100.7
End18.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
82%Auto Quest oddsEarned86%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed