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Red382
5314160.8
7250126.8
2832153.4
Blue243
5915129.8
2054184.9
5509166.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2913940100200500600700382243

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5314
#21
160.80.1
153.0153.0
Auto19.9
Teleop127.7
End16.1
blue by 24.2
2054
#10
184.91.0
177.8178.8
Auto23.0
Teleop130.8
End31.7
Second
2832
#17
153.40.6
153.2152.6
Auto20.2
Teleop109.7
End24.3
blue by 13.5
5509
#33
166.81.3
173.3172.0
Auto18.7
Teleop122.3
End26.4
Third
7250
#13
126.80.2
121.8122.0
Auto21.7
Teleop90.9
End15.2
blue by 3.0
5915
#36
129.81.3
137.4136.1
Auto15.4
Teleop101.9
End17.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
93%Auto Quest oddsEarned70%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed15%Face the Boss oddsMissed