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Red474
857138.1
5505201.1
3655135.1
Blue349
5531153.8
5084146.4
4405170.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34134702004006008001,000474349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5505
#11
201.10.4
197.2196.7
Auto20.8
Teleop152.7
End27.3
red by 30.3
4405
#22
170.80.0
163.0163.1
Auto21.2
Teleop125.4
End24.5
Second
857
#25
138.10.0
136.6136.6
Auto17.2
Teleop97.0
End23.3
blue by 15.8
5531
#30
153.80.1
162.5162.6
Auto17.4
Teleop119.7
End17.1
Third
3655
#32
135.10.3
130.6130.9
Auto16.8
Teleop100.7
End18.1
blue by 11.3
5084
#39
146.40.3
153.0153.3
Auto17.7
Teleop109.1
End16.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
15%Face the Boss oddsEarned8%Face the Boss oddsMissed