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Red214
4391194.7
5523135.9
6112146.2
Blue354
302209.0
27192.9
7250126.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3044170100200500600700214354

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4391
#12
194.71.6
192.5194.1
Auto28.3
Teleop145.1
End21.2
blue by 14.2
302
#6
209.00.8
212.7213.4
Auto21.4
Teleop161.8
End24.9
Second
6112
#37
146.20.2
149.5149.3
Auto21.7
Teleop111.3
End15.4
blue by 46.7
27
#3
192.90.5
190.5190.1
Auto23.4
Teleop141.1
End24.1
Third
5523
#23
135.90.7
133.0133.7
Auto19.9
Teleop98.9
End20.1
red by 9.1
7250
#13
126.80.6
122.0122.6
Auto21.7
Teleop90.9
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
96%Auto Quest oddsEarned95%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsMissed26%Face the Boss oddsMissed