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Red401
1718180.3
5505201.1
7054143.8
Blue331
5712166.4
7225179.0
4327131.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions400307100200500600700401331

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5505
#11
201.11.3
194.0195.3
Auto20.8
Teleop152.7
End27.3
red by 22.1
7225
#15
179.00.8
171.8172.6
Auto26.5
Teleop132.7
End20.3
Second
180.31.4
160.2161.7
Auto20.6
Teleop130.7
End33.8
red by 13.9
5712
#14
166.40.0
162.2162.2
Auto21.8
Teleop119.8
End25.9
Third
7054
#18
143.81.5
133.1134.6
Auto18.0
Teleop107.3
End20.9
red by 12.8
4327
#40
131.11.0
131.6132.6
Auto14.5
Teleop101.9
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsEarned76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed