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Red445
4391194.7
3655135.1
4776169.2
Blue177
857138.1
5084146.4
5915129.8
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions370306100200400500600445177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4391
#12
194.71.2
186.7187.9
Auto28.3
Teleop145.1
End21.2
red by 48.3
5084
#39
146.41.4
152.5153.8
Auto17.7
Teleop109.1
End16.9
Second
169.20.3
156.4156.2
Auto20.9
Teleop126.7
End25.1
red by 31.1
857
#25
138.10.4
139.6139.2
Auto17.2
Teleop97.0
End23.3
Third
3655
#32
135.11.6
125.4127.0
Auto16.8
Teleop100.7
End18.1
red by 5.3
5915
#36
129.80.0
139.8139.9
Auto15.4
Teleop101.9
End17.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned72%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsMissed