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Qual 372018 Michigan State Championship - Consumers Energy Division
Red310
3542169.1
74170.0
3452194.7
Blue407
7225179.0
5050191.3
6193168.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions392352100200300500600700800310407

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3452
#2
194.70.5
190.1→190.5
Auto20.8
Teleop142.5
End29.1
red by 3.3
5050
#4
191.30.1
182.7→182.8
Auto23.7
Teleop140.9
End29.0
Second
74
#35
170.00.9
176.7→175.8
Auto19.7
Teleop134.3
End14.8
blue by 9.0
7225
#15
179.00.3
173.5→173.2
Auto26.5
Teleop132.7
End20.3
Third
3542
#16
169.10.6
169.9→170.5
Auto21.8
Teleop126.6
End21.3
red by 0.3
6193
#24
168.80.7
167.2→167.9
Auto20.1
Teleop124.3
End24.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
83%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
11%Face the Boss oddsEarned6%Face the Boss oddsMissed