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Red465
27192.9
3603159.6
4776169.2
Blue205
7234132.2
5534132.6
3357230.5
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35337502006008001,000465205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#3
192.91.0
190.1189.0
Auto23.4
Teleop141.1
End24.1
blue by 37.6
230.50.6
236.1235.5
Auto22.4
Teleop175.7
End30.9
Second
169.21.0
160.1161.1
Auto20.9
Teleop126.7
End25.1
red by 36.6
5534
#34
132.60.8
131.4132.2
Auto21.3
Teleop94.5
End19.6
Third
3603
#29
159.60.6
152.0152.7
Auto17.9
Teleop116.1
End25.5
red by 27.3
7234
#28
132.20.7
131.4132.1
Auto18.5
Teleop92.1
End23.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest oddsEarned93%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
24%Face the Boss oddsEarned18%Face the Boss oddsMissed