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Red465
2054184.9
4391194.7
5712166.4
Blue257
2832153.4
3667147.3
857138.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4292760100200500600700800465257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4391
#12
194.70.2
194.1194.2
Auto28.3
Teleop145.1
End21.2
red by 41.3
2832
#17
153.40.1
152.7152.6
Auto20.2
Teleop109.7
End24.3
Second
2054
#10
184.90.3
178.6178.4
Auto23.0
Teleop130.8
End31.7
red by 37.7
3667
#38
147.30.5
153.3153.7
Auto17.4
Teleop118.2
End11.3
Third
5712
#14
166.40.1
163.2163.3
Auto21.8
Teleop119.8
End25.9
red by 28.3
857
#25
138.10.9
136.6137.4
Auto17.2
Teleop97.0
End23.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
95%Auto Quest oddsEarned68%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
42%Face the Boss oddsEarned18%Face the Boss oddsMissed