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Red423
5535156.7
1506188.2
5314160.8
Blue316
4327131.1
5505201.1
5523135.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382295100200500600423316

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
188.20.5
192.9192.4
Auto22.7
Teleop142.8
End18.7
blue by 12.9
5505
#11
201.10.6
196.7197.3
Auto20.8
Teleop152.7
End27.3
Second
5314
#21
160.80.8
153.7154.5
Auto19.9
Teleop127.7
End16.1
red by 24.8
5523
#23
135.90.5
133.7133.3
Auto19.9
Teleop98.9
End20.1
Third
5535
#26
156.70.6
155.0155.6
Auto16.1
Teleop120.3
End22.6
red by 25.6
4327
#40
131.10.1
134.0134.0
Auto14.5
Teleop101.9
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
88%Auto Quest oddsEarned41%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsMissed