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Red319
7054143.8
3655135.1
494213.9
Blue425
6112146.2
7234132.2
3452194.7
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions398302100200500600700319425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#8
213.90.9
214.9215.8
Auto21.7
Teleop162.7
End28.9
red by 19.2
194.70.2
190.5190.7
Auto20.8
Teleop142.5
End29.1
Second
7054
#18
143.80.6
143.0143.6
Auto18.0
Teleop107.3
End20.9
blue by 2.4
6112
#37
146.20.7
148.1147.4
Auto21.7
Teleop111.3
End15.4
Third
3655
#32
135.11.1
132.0133.1
Auto16.8
Teleop100.7
End18.1
red by 2.9
7234
#28
132.20.3
132.1131.7
Auto18.5
Teleop92.1
End23.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
73%Auto Quest oddsMissed83%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsEarned16%Face the Boss oddsMissed