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Qual 422018 Michigan State Championship - Consumers Energy Division
Red291
4391194.7
5090135.5
2832153.4
Blue422
5050191.3
7250126.8
4776169.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions351340250300400450500291422

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4391
#12
194.70.8
194.2→195.1
Auto28.3
Teleop145.1
End21.2
red by 3.4
5050
#4
191.30.5
182.8→183.3
Auto23.7
Teleop140.9
End29.0
Second
2832
#17
153.40.1
152.6→152.5
Auto20.2
Teleop109.7
End24.3
blue by 15.8
4776
#7
169.21.4
161.1→162.5
Auto20.9
Teleop126.7
End25.1
Third
5090
#31
135.50.2
139.0→139.3
Auto17.6
Teleop98.0
End18.3
red by 8.7
7250
#13
126.80.1
122.4→122.3
Auto21.7
Teleop90.9
End15.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned92%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
13%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsEarned