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Red136
5915129.8
4970164.9
4327131.1
Blue459
7225179.0
5523135.9
4405170.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3183710100200400500600136459

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4970
#27
164.91.0
175.1174.1
Auto24.8
Teleop116.7
End22.6
blue by 14.1
7225
#15
179.00.2
173.2173.3
Auto26.5
Teleop132.7
End20.3
Second
4327
#40
131.10.2
134.0134.2
Auto14.5
Teleop101.9
End14.6
blue by 39.7
4405
#22
170.80.6
163.1163.7
Auto21.2
Teleop125.4
End24.5
Third
5915
#36
129.80.9
132.6131.7
Auto15.4
Teleop101.9
End17.5
blue by 6.1
5523
#23
135.90.2
133.3133.1
Auto19.9
Teleop98.9
End20.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed10%Face the Boss oddsEarned