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Red457
5509166.8
1718180.3
3357230.5
Blue309
74170.0
6193168.8
857138.1
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4412880100200400500600700800457309

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230.51.4
235.5234.1
Auto22.4
Teleop175.7
End30.9
red by 60.5
74
#35
170.00.9
175.8174.9
Auto19.7
Teleop134.3
End14.8
Second
180.31.4
169.9171.2
Auto20.6
Teleop130.7
End33.8
red by 11.5
6193
#24
168.81.0
167.9168.9
Auto20.1
Teleop124.3
End24.0
Third
5509
#33
166.81.0
168.5167.4
Auto18.7
Teleop122.3
End26.4
red by 28.7
857
#25
138.10.7
137.4138.1
Auto17.2
Teleop97.0
End23.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
92%Auto Quest oddsMissed82%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
33%Face the Boss oddsEarned17%Face the Boss oddsMissed