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Red477
5436173.5
5712166.4
27192.9
Blue242
1506188.2
5531153.8
3667147.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3763380100200300500600700477242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27
#3
192.90.2
189.0188.9
Auto23.4
Teleop141.1
End24.1
red by 4.7
188.20.1
192.4192.3
Auto22.7
Teleop142.8
End18.7
Second
5436
#19
173.50.2
168.5168.7
Auto21.0
Teleop125.6
End26.7
red by 19.7
5531
#30
153.80.0
162.6162.7
Auto17.4
Teleop119.7
End17.1
Third
5712
#14
166.40.8
163.3164.1
Auto21.8
Teleop119.8
End25.9
red by 19.1
3667
#38
147.30.3
153.7154.1
Auto17.4
Teleop118.2
End11.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
47%Face the Boss oddsEarned4%Face the Boss oddsMissed