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Red213
5090135.5
4776169.2
5523135.9
Blue400
3452194.7
4327131.1
5509166.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30037702006008001,0001,200213400

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
169.22.0
162.5164.5
Auto20.9
Teleop126.7
End25.1
blue by 25.5
194.70.7
190.7191.4
Auto20.8
Teleop142.5
End29.1
Second
5523
#23
135.90.9
133.1134.0
Auto19.9
Teleop98.9
End20.1
blue by 30.9
5509
#33
166.80.5
167.4166.9
Auto18.7
Teleop122.3
End26.4
Third
5090
#31
135.50.0
139.3139.2
Auto17.6
Teleop98.0
End18.3
red by 4.5
4327
#40
131.11.0
134.2133.2
Auto14.5
Teleop101.9
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
80%Auto Quest oddsEarned50%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed14%Face the Boss oddsMissed