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Red171
5084146.4
4130160.3
5712166.4
Blue497
2054184.9
5534132.6
7225179.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions368359100200300400500600171497

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5712
#14
166.41.4
164.1165.6
Auto21.8
Teleop119.8
End25.9
blue by 18.5
2054
#10
184.91.0
178.8179.8
Auto23.0
Teleop130.8
End31.7
Second
4130
#20
160.30.5
163.1163.5
Auto18.2
Teleop121.1
End24.5
blue by 18.7
7225
#15
179.01.2
173.3174.5
Auto26.5
Teleop132.7
End20.3
Third
5084
#39
146.40.5
152.7152.1
Auto17.7
Teleop109.1
End16.9
red by 13.8
5534
#34
132.60.1
131.9131.8
Auto21.3
Teleop94.5
End19.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
94%Auto Quest oddsEarned96%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
12%Face the Boss oddsMissed22%Face the Boss oddsEarned