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Qual 502018 Michigan State Championship - Consumers Energy Division
Red413
5505201.1
5915129.8
3603159.6
Blue268
6112146.2
3667147.3
5436173.5
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions361330100200300400500600413268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5505
#11
201.10.6
198.0→198.5
Auto20.8
Teleop152.7
End27.3
red by 27.6
5436
#19
173.51.0
168.7→169.7
Auto21.0
Teleop125.6
End26.7
Second
3603
#29
159.61.5
153.8→155.3
Auto17.9
Teleop116.1
End25.5
red by 12.3
3667
#38
147.30.5
154.1→153.5
Auto17.4
Teleop118.2
End11.3
Third
5915
#36
129.81.8
131.7→129.9
Auto15.4
Teleop101.9
End17.5
blue by 16.4
6112
#37
146.20.0
147.4→147.4
Auto21.7
Teleop111.3
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsMissed86%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
9%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed