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Qual 512018 Michigan State Championship - Consumers Energy Division
Red406
4405170.8
5314160.8
5050191.3
Blue275
857138.1
1718180.3
1506188.2
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions371340100200300400500600406275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5050
#4
191.31.3
183.3→184.6
Auto23.7
Teleop140.9
End29.0
red by 3.2
1506
#9
188.20.9
192.3→191.4
Auto22.7
Teleop142.8
End18.7
Second
4405
#22
170.81.5
163.7→165.2
Auto21.2
Teleop125.4
End24.5
blue by 9.5
1718
#1
180.31.4
171.2→172.7
Auto20.6
Teleop130.7
End33.8
Third
5314
#21
160.80.9
155.4→156.3
Auto19.9
Teleop127.7
End16.1
red by 22.7
857
#25
138.10.6
138.1→138.7
Auto17.2
Teleop97.0
End23.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned89%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed40%Face the Boss oddsEarned